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Red46
552613.8
696511.7
76999.5
Blue60
460321.0
664724.6
570512.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305901020405070804660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5526
#30
13.81.0
10.911.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 10.8
24.60.3
23.323.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Second
6965
#34
11.71.3
9.610.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.2
blue by 9.3
4603
#16
21.00.3
20.220.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Third
7699
#31
9.51.3
7.89.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 3.4
5705
#15
12.90.3
12.613.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed