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Red41
70409.0
742113.1
473513.8
Blue39
440317.4
61996.2
70379.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362910204050604139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.0
13.513.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 3.6
17.40.7
15.215.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Second
7421
#24
13.10.0
11.611.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.3
red by 4.0
7037
#32
9.21.0
7.48.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Third
7040
#25
9.00.0
9.49.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 2.8
6199
#28
6.21.0
5.26.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed