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Red40
463522.2
76999.5
70186.3
Blue50
716116.6
534413.1
473513.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37451020305060704050

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#19
22.20.3
20.120.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.5
End2.8
red by 5.6
7161
#21
16.60.3
16.216.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Second
7699
#31
9.50.4
9.19.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 4.3
13.80.3
13.613.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
7018
#33
6.30.4
5.96.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 6.7
13.10.3
13.013.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed