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Red47
660814.9
601716.4
435513.2
Blue57
352613.7
440119.1
765313.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442030405060704757

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6017
#10
16.40.1
15.715.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.7
blue by 2.7
19.11.0
17.118.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Second
6608
#17
14.90.1
13.713.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.0
red by 1.2
3526
#26
13.71.0
12.713.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
4355
#22
13.20.1
13.213.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 0.4
7653
#14
13.61.3
11.713.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed