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Red39
68998.7
633211.7
319625.9
Blue67
650219.1
265528.8
68949.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444701001503967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
23.323.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End8.6
blue by 3.0
28.80.9
25.526.4
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End6.1
Second
6332
#26
11.70.2
8.98.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.9
blue by 7.4
19.10.9
12.513.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End2.9
Third
6899
#29
8.70.2
9.29.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End2.3
blue by 0.4
6894
#18
9.10.9
6.67.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed