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Red45
122514.8
90014.9
36618.5
Blue65
58718.4
688811.3
345912.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40381020305060704565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#27
14.90.5
13.914.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.0
blue by 3.5
587
#11
18.41.9
16.818.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Second
1225
#20
14.80.5
10.911.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End4.8
red by 2.5
3459
#21
12.21.9
9.311.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End6.5
Third
3661
#30
8.50.8
13.214.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 2.7
6888
#28
11.31.9
9.811.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsEarned