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Red35
264014.5
78158.6
265528.8
Blue31
345912.2
482817.0
585411.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564420304050607080903531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.2
28.727.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End6.1
red by 11.8
17.00.7
16.816.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End7.5
Second
2640
#22
14.51.2
14.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End4.1
red by 2.3
3459
#21
12.20.7
12.211.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End6.5
Third
7815
#24
8.61.2
9.88.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End2.3
blue by 3.3
5854
#32
11.90.7
12.711.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsMissed