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Red58
122514.8
789018.7
319625.9
Blue42
551813.4
693214.6
567911.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6139102030507080905842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.0
25.225.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End8.6
red by 11.3
6932
#31
14.60.3
14.214.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Second
18.70.0
17.817.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End6.7
red by 5.3
5518
#25
13.40.3
12.212.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End2.7
Third
1225
#20
14.80.0
14.714.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End4.8
red by 3.4
5679
#16
11.40.3
11.111.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed