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Red76
58721.6
265526.7
153325.4
Blue65
560716.3
90016.3
319626.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7360405080901001107665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#19
26.70.5
26.827.3
Auto3.6
Teleop16.9
End6.1
blue by 0.1
26.80.6
26.126.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End8.9
Second
25.40.5
25.125.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End5.0
red by 9.0
5607
#29
16.30.6
16.617.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End4.1
Third
587
#5
21.60.5
16.917.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.8
red by 5.3
900
#28
16.30.6
13.914.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsEarned