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Red66
322921.4
650223.2
482823.1
Blue64
479522.2
456124.4
373724.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6670506080906664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#15
23.20.2
20.620.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.3
End1.8
blue by 1.3
3737
#22
24.50.2
18.017.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.2
Second
23.10.2
18.718.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End7.7
blue by 1.3
24.40.2
26.025.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.7
End6.5
Third
3229
#24
21.40.2
23.223.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End4.0
blue by 0.8
4795
#21
22.20.2
22.422.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned