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Red73
205921.2
268223.6
373724.5
Blue88
789022.5
650223.2
264227.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7072204060801001207388

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#22
24.50.5
22.022.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.2
blue by 2.5
27.01.3
24.425.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End6.8
Second
2682
#20
23.60.5
22.923.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.2
red by 0.4
6502
#15
23.21.3
23.324.6
Auto4.1
Teleop17.3
End1.8
Third
2059
#14
21.20.5
20.921.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End8.6
blue by 1.3
7890
#17
22.51.3
20.621.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned