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Red60
345915.1
153325.4
551126.7
Blue89
482823.1
650021.6
453429.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7271556065758085906089

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5511
#11
26.70.5
26.225.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End8.9
blue by 2.3
29.01.4
27.128.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End6.5
Second
25.40.5
25.224.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End5.0
red by 2.3
23.11.4
21.122.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End7.7
Third
15.10.5
16.015.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End6.1
blue by 6.5
6500
#13
21.61.4
19.621.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsEarned