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Red50
429114.2
744313.5
205921.2
Blue79
776320.7
479522.2
268223.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53702030406080901005079

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#14
21.20.0
21.421.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End8.6
blue by 2.4
2682
#20
23.60.2
23.423.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.2
Second
4291
#26
14.20.0
14.114.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End3.5
blue by 8.0
4795
#21
22.20.2
22.222.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.9
Third
7443
#32
13.50.0
14.314.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 7.2
7763
#18
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned77%HAB Docking oddsEarned