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Red26
72704.9
429012.8
368015.5
Blue26
56798.7
68944.3
693213.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353201020405060702626

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3680
#16
15.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
red by 2.4
6932
#20
13.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Second
4290
#19
12.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.6
red by 4.1
5679
#21
8.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Third
7270
#31
4.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
red by 0.6
6894
#27
4.3
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed