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Red44
576216.4
621412.7
554420.1
Blue24
153322.1
482912.0
60045.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141253035454424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5544
#22
20.10.6
12.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 2.1
1533
#12
22.11.6
16.214.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.4
Second
5762
#11
16.40.4
12.112.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.0
red by 4.3
4829
#29
12.01.6
12.911.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Third
6214
#13
12.70.6
13.914.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End4.5
red by 7.5
6004
#34
5.21.6
9.67.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed