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Red22
72704.9
554420.1
12259.7
Blue23
56798.7
319623.0
350614.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414402060802223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5544
#22
20.11.9
14.913.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 2.9
23.02.0
14.112.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End7.2
Second
1225
#28DQ
9.71.9
12.810.9
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End4.1
blue by 4.3
14.02.0
14.312.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
7270
#31DQ
4.91.9
11.59.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
blue by 3.8
5679
#21
8.72.0
12.910.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed