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Red34
153322.1
57278.8
58713.9
Blue57
482912.0
621412.7
265525.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464635404550553457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#12
22.11.4
17.115.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.4
blue by 2.9
25.11.0
19.620.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
587
#26
13.91.4
14.212.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End4.4
red by 1.1
6214
#13
12.71.5
11.513.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Third
5727
#24
8.81.4
11.910.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 3.3
4829
#29
12.01.5
12.013.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed