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Red44
350614.0
493513.1
693213.0
Blue37
68887.8
56798.7
776316.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393501020305060704437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.00.2
11.611.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.7
blue by 2.1
16.10.1
14.114.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Second
13.10.2
14.113.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.6
red by 4.4
5679
#21
8.70.1
10.110.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Third
6932
#20
13.00.2
11.411.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 5.2
6888
#36
7.80.1
9.09.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed