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Red38
32153.9
479520.0
368015.5
Blue17
60045.2
591910.4
72704.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37230103050603817

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.2
19.119.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End8.5
red by 9.6
5919
#10
10.40.3
9.08.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End4.7
Second
3680
#16
15.50.3
12.713.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
red by 10.3
6004
#34
5.20.5
7.26.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End3.6
Third
3215
#35
3.90.3
3.43.6
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 0.9
7270
#31
4.90.5
5.34.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed