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Red9
72704.9
68887.8
68997.2
Blue47
429012.8
58713.9
26409.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223301030405060947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6888
#36
7.81.2
8.57.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 6.0
587
#26
13.91.3
11.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End4.4
Second
6899
#30
7.21.0
7.66.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End2.7
blue by 5.6
4290
#19
12.81.5
11.312.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
7270
#31
4.91.1
4.93.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
blue by 4.7
2640
#17
9.61.3
8.79.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsEarned