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Red28
57278.8
585411.3
56798.7
Blue48
576216.4
726510.5
482912.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343910203050602848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5854
#23
11.30.9
12.912.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End2.8
blue by 5.0
5762
#11
16.40.7
15.416.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Second
5727
#24
8.80.9
9.28.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 3.3
4829
#29
12.00.9
11.612.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Third
5679
#21
8.71.1
10.49.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 1.8
10.50.9
9.910.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed