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Red18
32153.7
62157.2
551124.6
Blue51
651210.9
333618.1
767118.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36460102030406070801851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.1
22.721.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End10.1
red by 5.9
7671
#15
18.70.5
17.017.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Second
6215
#36
7.21.1
6.95.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End2.7
blue by 10.9
18.10.5
15.315.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
3215
#35
3.71.1
4.23.1
Auto1.1
Teleop1.0
End1.5
blue by 7.2
6512
#31
10.90.5
11.612.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed