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Red54
482919.5
373719.1
702911.7
Blue52
642610.9
744316.7
479522.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060805452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#24
19.50.9
12.913.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End3.6
blue by 3.3
22.80.2
21.521.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End9.1
Second
19.10.9
17.718.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
red by 2.3
7443
#27
16.70.2
14.714.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End3.6
Third
7029
#17
11.70.9
9.410.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
red by 0.8
6426
#19
10.90.2
13.113.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned