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Red48
516016.3
789020.1
726512.1
Blue26
36619.1
48167.6
672914.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060804826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.2
18.518.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End5.7
red by 5.7
6729
#18
14.40.0
12.612.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Second
5160
#16
16.30.2
14.414.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End2.6
red by 7.2
3661
#26
9.10.0
8.18.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Third
7265
#23
12.10.2
11.411.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.2
red by 4.5
4816
#33
7.60.0
5.95.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed