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Red43
250815.6
222717.7
465622.3
Blue56
251215.9
216911.4
254924.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49462030406070804356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#24
22.30.4
18.418.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.1
blue by 1.8
24.11.4
17.318.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.3
Second
2227
#12
17.70.4
14.714.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 1.8
2512
#41
15.90.8
15.115.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
2508
#30
15.60.4
13.413.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End5.7
red by 4.1
2169
#31
11.41.4
11.212.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed