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Red64
329811.0
400927.7
767715.8
Blue67
481813.6
422910.8
288322.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50470204060801006467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.2
24.025.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End7.8
red by 4.8
2883
#17
22.92.1
20.522.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End6.4
Second
7677
#16
15.81.9
10.111.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 2.2
4818
#38
13.62.1
15.117.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
3298
#25
11.01.9
13.215.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 0.2
4229
#33
10.82.1
9.311.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsEarned