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Red37
30369.6
752910.0
217521.2
Blue58
592918.7
423918.3
767715.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41562060803758

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#34
21.20.2
19.219.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End4.2
red by 2.5
18.70.1
19.119.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End4.3
Second
7529
#51
10.00.2
10.210.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.4
blue by 8.3
4239
#29
18.30.1
18.518.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End4.6
Third
3036
#52
9.60.2
9.89.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End1.4
blue by 6.2
7677
#16
15.80.1
15.315.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed