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Red58
59987.8
327811.9
517232.5
Blue30
704814.0
251215.9
46466.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50421020306070805830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.9
29.830.7
Auto5.9
Teleop18.8
End7.8
red by 16.6
2512
#41
15.90.6
16.615.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Second
3278
#26
11.90.9
11.011.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End3.2
blue by 2.1
7048
#42
14.00.9
16.015.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End3.0
Third
5998
#47
7.80.9
6.97.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
red by 1.9
4646
#49
6.00.9
6.96.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed