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Red101
568732.2
542215.5
13334.3
Blue79
23727.2
323623.5
287725.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8480406010012010179

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
34.31.5
33.835.2
Auto6.1
Teleop21.4
End6.9
red by 7.2
237
#15
27.20.2
27.427.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Second
32.21.5
31.532.9
Auto3.7
Teleop22.2
End6.3
red by 6.7
2877
#34
25.50.2
24.424.6
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End3.8
Third
5422
#39
15.51.5
14.015.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
blue by 8.0
3236
#49
23.50.2
23.824.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
82%Rocket oddsEarned56%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed