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Red83
252323.8
16624.8
107125.3
Blue79
476118.1
404127.9
741621.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7570204060801001208379

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1071
#32
25.30.8
23.824.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.5
End3.5
blue by 2.6
4041
#16
27.90.8
27.828.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
Second
166
#55
24.80.8
23.924.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
red by 3.1
7416
#60
21.60.8
21.222.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Third
2523
#47
23.80.8
23.224.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End5.8
red by 5.7
4761
#64
18.10.8
17.418.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed88%HAB Docking oddsEarned