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Red86
287725.5
9520.8
176827.8
Blue92
6925.8
490926.6
355529.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778740601001208692

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.9
27.828.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End5.6
blue by 1.3
3555
#10
29.10.0
29.629.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End7.2
Second
2877
#34
25.50.9
24.625.5
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End3.8
blue by 1.1
4909
#25
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Third
95
#33
20.80.9
20.721.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 5.0
69
#19
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
80%Rocket oddsEarned7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned