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Red78
173517.2
786920.6
105826.3
Blue55
50120.8
252323.8
172112.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65613040507080907855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#14
26.30.9
25.426.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.3
End7.0
red by 2.5
2523
#47
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End5.8
Second
7869
#43
20.60.9
19.720.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 0.2
501
#57
20.80.2
21.020.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Third
1735
#46
17.20.9
16.317.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 4.4
1721
#63
12.80.2
13.012.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed