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Red58
573518.2
172922.7
323623.5
Blue95
127720.7
346719.8
216835.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70782040601001205895

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3236
#49
23.50.5
24.023.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.2
blue by 12.0
35.50.8
34.635.3
Auto5.5
Teleop23.4
End6.6
Second
1729
#30
22.70.5
23.222.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End4.0
red by 2.0
1277
#37
20.70.8
19.920.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Third
5735
#58
18.20.5
18.718.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End5.7
blue by 1.6
3467
#51
19.80.8
19.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed46%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned