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Red82
237030.5
192225.3
147427.9
Blue80
17628.8
7831.2
365419.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90866070801001108280

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
30.50.2
30.930.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End8.1
blue by 0.6
78
#20
31.20.5
32.532.0
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
1474
#22
27.90.2
28.127.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End8.1
blue by 0.9
176
#7
28.80.5
28.728.2
Auto2.9
Teleop18.5
End7.4
Third
1922
#29
25.30.2
25.725.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End9.7
red by 5.6
3654
#62
19.70.5
20.219.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsMissed