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Red94
216835.5
17820.6
404127.9
Blue72
151932.7
490926.6
115329.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8896506070801001101201309472

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.5
32.633.1
Auto5.5
Teleop23.4
End6.6
red by 2.8
1519
#18
32.71.2
34.633.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Second
4041
#16
27.90.5
27.528.0
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
blue by 1.5
1153
#26
29.31.2
28.627.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End6.6
Third
178
#44
20.60.5
23.223.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End6.5
blue by 6.0
4909
#25
26.61.2
27.526.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
42%Rocket oddsEarned15%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned