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Red72
252323.8
206724.7
9520.8
Blue70
172922.7
13334.3
476118.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738140601001207270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#28
24.70.2
23.223.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End8.5
blue by 9.7
133
#3
34.30.4
36.235.7
Auto6.1
Teleop21.4
End6.9
Second
2523
#47
23.80.2
21.922.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End5.8
red by 1.1
1729
#30
22.70.4
22.121.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Third
95
#33
20.80.2
23.924.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.8
red by 2.7
4761
#64
18.10.4
18.117.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
26%Rocket oddsEarned58%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsMissed