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Red84
50926.7
9520.8
107125.3
Blue41
596215.1
743821.5
346719.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74572040801001208441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#12
26.70.7
25.125.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End6.1
red by 5.2
7438
#52
21.50.9
20.719.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End5.5
Second
1071
#32
25.30.7
23.824.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.5
End3.5
red by 5.5
3467
#51
19.80.9
20.419.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End5.4
Third
95
#33
20.80.7
21.522.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.8
red by 5.8
5962
#61
15.10.9
13.312.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsMissed