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Red75
173517.2
192225.3
151932.7
Blue74
740725.9
476118.1
573518.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80662040601001207574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#18
32.70.2
32.932.7
Auto5.2
Teleop20.4
End7.1
red by 6.8
7407
#35
25.90.8
24.525.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End5.2
Second
1922
#29
25.30.2
27.427.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End9.7
red by 7.1
5735
#58
18.20.8
20.120.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End5.7
Third
1735
#46
17.20.2
15.214.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 0.9
4761
#64
18.10.8
17.518.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
34%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned73%HAB Docking oddsEarned