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Red70
568732.2
17820.6
314622.7
Blue75
17628.8
712724.1
172922.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878140601001207075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.0
32.631.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.2
End6.3
red by 3.4
176
#7
28.80.1
30.430.3
Auto2.9
Teleop18.5
End7.4
Second
3146
#23
22.71.0
26.125.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.3
blue by 1.4
7127
#17
24.10.1
23.223.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End8.7
Third
178
#44
20.61.0
23.822.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End6.5
blue by 2.1
1729
#30
22.70.1
23.223.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
31%Rocket oddsEarned14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsMissed99%HAB Docking oddsEarned