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Red84
510928.7
605913.3
642920.5
Blue37
463518.8
337416.1
505217.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61663040507080901008437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#28
28.71.8
28.730.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End7.8
red by 9.9
4635
#38
18.81.7
22.120.4
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Second
6429
#43
20.51.8
18.220.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End2.4
red by 3.4
5052
#39
17.11.7
19.718.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Third
6059
#44
13.31.8
10.512.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End3.2
blue by 2.8
3374
#63
16.11.7
20.618.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed