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Red80
531222.7
265928.3
53819.3
Blue57
268221.5
502626.9
153914.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75673040506080901001108057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#26
28.30.6
28.629.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End7.0
red by 1.3
5026
#21
26.90.4
27.627.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End9.5
Second
5312
#23
22.70.6
22.322.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End5.1
red by 1.3
2682
#58
21.50.4
21.721.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.9
Third
538
#45
19.30.6
19.820.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End5.3
red by 4.9
1539
#37
14.40.4
13.713.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned