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Red37
776110.4
63888.7
180618.9
Blue79
683319.6
268221.5
190223.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40662060801003779

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#53
18.90.0
16.816.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 4.1
1902
#60
23.00.7
21.822.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End2.8
Second
7761
#42
10.40.0
11.411.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 11.1
2682
#58
21.50.7
21.922.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.9
Third
6388
#54
8.70.0
9.59.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 11.0
6833
#35
19.60.7
19.219.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed