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Red31
610616.3
181721.3
420121.9
Blue58
463518.8
93223.7
450415.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686640506080901003158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#33
21.92.2
23.120.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End5.3
blue by 1.7
932
#18
23.70.5
25.424.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
Second
1817
#20
21.32.2
22.620.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End7.7
red by 2.5
4635
#38
18.80.5
20.620.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
6106
#47
16.32.2
18.416.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
red by 0.6
4504
#49
15.80.5
16.916.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed