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Red36
304512.9
419112.7
406813.5
Blue58
704217.8
634811.0
766721.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434802060801003658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#41
13.50.5
13.112.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End2.7
blue by 7.7
7667
#29
21.20.6
19.319.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Second
3045
#61
12.90.5
12.912.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End3.3
blue by 4.9
7042
#14
17.80.6
16.116.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End6.3
Third
4191
#27
12.70.5
14.614.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 1.7
6348
#25
11.00.6
9.910.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned