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Red61
50922.3
403413.4
237027.9
Blue49
105819.8
73149.7
693316.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593720806149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
26.226.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.4
End9.5
red by 8.1
1058
#11
19.80.9
16.217.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End7.0
Second
509
#1
22.30.4
18.018.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End6.1
red by 6.3
6933
#17
16.00.9
12.813.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
4034
#18
13.40.4
11.511.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
red by 3.7
7314
#39
9.70.9
6.06.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsEarned