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Red36
175710.0
712611.4
669118.1
Blue55
135017.5
741621.1
590215.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394702060803655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6691
#30
18.10.0
17.517.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 3.0
21.10.7
17.618.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Second
7126
#36
11.40.0
11.111.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 6.1
1350
#16
17.50.7
15.115.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Third
1757
#21
10.00.0
8.18.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End4.7
blue by 5.9
5902
#19
15.90.7
11.612.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed