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Red73
135017.5
345115.0
31929.3
Blue35
767415.6
712611.4
79079.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61342040807335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#6
29.31.0
26.427.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End4.8
red by 13.7
7674
#24
15.60.2
13.213.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.3
Second
1350
#16
17.51.0
15.816.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End2.7
red by 6.1
7126
#36
11.40.2
10.510.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Third
3451
#33
15.01.7
15.217.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End3.8
red by 5.6
7907
#38
9.40.2
8.78.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed