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Red51
151715.9
16621.4
693316.0
Blue53
403413.4
636716.3
88519.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50411020306070805153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#10
21.40.2
17.717.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End3.8
red by 2.3
885
#15
19.11.0
14.615.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End4.3
Second
6933
#17
16.00.2
13.914.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 0.3
6367
#13
16.31.0
11.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Third
1517
#32
15.90.2
15.916.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.4
red by 2.5
4034
#18
13.41.0
12.513.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed