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Red38
596215.3
79079.4
495818.3
Blue69
105819.8
23824.3
237027.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4675304050607080901003869

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4958
#34
18.30.4
18.418.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End4.0
blue by 9.6
27.90.3
28.528.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.4
End9.5
Second
5962
#20
15.30.4
15.315.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End5.2
blue by 9.0
238
#7
24.30.3
23.423.1
Auto3.2
Teleop16.4
End4.7
Third
7907
#38
9.40.4
9.79.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 10.4
1058
#11
19.80.3
19.118.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed93%HAB Docking oddsEarned