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Red48
15119.1
45467.6
403413.4
Blue45
632411.7
636716.3
135017.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414920306070804845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#14
19.10.4
18.719.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 1.6
1350
#16
17.50.3
17.717.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Second
4034
#18
13.40.4
13.013.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
blue by 3.0
6367
#13
16.30.3
16.616.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Third
4546
#27
7.60.5
7.27.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End4.0
blue by 4.1
6324
#22
11.70.3
11.611.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed